Manfred Keil, Ph.D.

Associate Professor of Economics

Department

Robert Day School of Economics and Finance

Areas of Expertise

Banking
Comparative Economic Performance
Macroeconomics
Statistics
Bauer Center
315

Office Hours

Monday, 1:30-2:30
Wednesday, 1:30-2:30
Friday, 1:00-2:00

Education

Zwischenpruefung, Goethe Universitaet, Frankfurt, Germany; M.S., London School of Economics; M.A., University of Texas; Ph.D., London School of Economics

Research and Publications

“Uncovered Interest Rate Parity and Exchange Rate Regimes: Lessons from a Sample of East Asian Countries.” Forthcoming, conference volume, SCAPE, National University of Singapore, 2008.

“International and Intra Regional Interest Rate Interdependence in Asia: Methodological Issues and Empirical Results,” in Conference Volume, Korea Institute for International Policy (KIEP), 2005, with Amnat Phalapleewan, Ramkishen Rajan, and Thomas Willett.

“Shrunken Earnings Predictions are Better Predictions,” with Margaret Hwang and Gary Smith, Applied Financial Economics, 2004.

“Political Business Cycles,” in F. Schneider and C. Rowley (eds.), Encyclopedia of Public Choice, 2003 (with Tom Willett).

“Mean Reversion Recast as Measurement Error: Lessons for Finance from Galton’s Fallacy.” Papers and Proceedings, Western Decision Science Institute, Annual Meetings, 2000.

“An Explanation of the Recently Experienced Fall in the Natural Rate of Unemployment,” Papers and Proceedings, Western Decision Science Institute, Annual Meetings, 1999.

"An Aggregate Model of the Canadian Labor Market," Journal of Macroeconomics, 1994.

“Canadian and U.S. Unemployment Rates: A Comparison Based on Regional Data,” with Lou Pantuosco. Canadian Public Policy, Supplement, 1998.

“Lessons from the OECD Experience of Unemployment” with Andrew Newell. Labour Market Review, Winter 1993/4, pp. 50-61.

"Internal Migration and Unemployment in Germany: An Anglo-Irish Perspective," Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 1993.

"Is the Political Business Cycle Really Dead?" Southern Economic Journal, 1988.