Polling Research
Throughout its history, the Rose Institute has conducted various polls and surveys. In recent years, the Rose Institute has produced several multi-state polls in partnership with YouGov. The CMC-Rose Institute Poll aims to generate valuable public opinion data that can inform public discourse, provide students with first-hand experience in designing survey questions and analyzing responses, and support faculty research.
The CMC-Rose Institute Poll
The polling program has been led by CMC Assistant Professor of Government Andrew Sinclair, a Rose Institute Faculty Advisor who has expertise in polling. YouGov has implemented surveys designed by Professor Sinclair, Professor Miller, and Professor Emeritus Joseph Bessette in collaboration with Rose Institute students.
2024 National Pre-election Poll
6,500 respondents, including oversamples in California, Texas, Florida, New York, and Pennsylvania.
- National Poll Results: Narrow Margin and High Stakes in Presidential Election
- California: Harris and Schiff Cruising to Victory in Deep Blue California
- Texas: Texas Continues to Lean Red as Trump, Cruz Maintain Narrow Leads
- Florida: Trump, Scott on Track to Win in Florida
- New York: New York Poised to Back Harris and Gillibrand
- Pennsylvania: Presidential Race Remains Close with Wide Partisan Divide in Confidence in Vote Count
The reports did not include most of the polls’ questions and responses, some of which are designed to support academic research by scholars affiliated with the polls.
2022 Poll
Conducted during the 2022 election cycle, this poll resulted in two reports. Red vs. Blue State: Competing Vision for 2022 and 2024 yielded 5,060 respondents, including a national sample of 1,000 registered voters and state oversamples of voters in each of the nation's largest states. Battleground Pennsylvania: The 2022 Midterm Election sampled 850 Pennsylvania likely voters prior to the Senate candidates' debate, providing information to help assess how the debate will influence the race.
2021 Poll (NY/CA)
The survey involved interviews in California and New York in the weeks leading up to the 2021 California recall election. It focused on comparing the two states and which sorts of political institutions people in those states favor. Sample of 2,000 registered California voters and 1,675 registered New York voters.